Male Drivers and Public Safety

Christian Party

Male Drivers and Public Safety

88.6% of all accidents today could be avoided if all drivers had the demonstrated safety record per 100 Million miles of California's male drivers. ^{See
Calculations below for Chart}

Male:Female Accident Ratio in California if Males Drive 87% of Miles

California Drivers	Male	Female	Total	Female:Male Ratio
Percent of all California Drivers in Accidents	6.4%	4.5%	5.5%	.7:1
Total California Drivers	8,919,394	8,620,952	17,540,346	.97:1
Drivers/Year in Accidents	570,841	387,943	958,784	.68:1
Miles/Year Driven	229.7 Billion	34.3 Billion	264 Billion	.41:1
Accidents Per 100 Million Miles	248.5	1,131	363.2	4.55:1
IF ALL DRIVERS HAD THE SAFETY RECORD OF CALIFORNIA'S MALE DRIVERS:
Miles/Year Driven	264 Billion	0	264 Billion	0
Accidents Per 100 Million Miles	41.5	0	41.5	0
Drivers/Year in Accidents	109,576	0	109,576	0

Reduction in Drivers/Year Involved in Accidents			849,208 (or 88.6%)

CALCULATIONS FOR CHART
Some accidents involve only one driver and some involve 3 or more, a rough average of 2 drivers per accident, giving us (958,784 accidents divided by 2 drivers/accident), or 479,392 accidents per year. The probability of a male having an accident is X, and the probability of a female having an accident as noted above is 4.55 times that, or 4.55X.
A = male:male accident = X x X = X²
B = female:female accident = 4.55X x 4.55X = 20.7X²
C = female:male accident = 4.55X x X = 4.55X²
A + B + C = 479,392 = 26.25X²
X²= 18,262.6
X = 135.1
A = 18,262.6
B = 378,306
C= 83,095
If the probability per mile of an accident of all of the B drivers were the same as the A drivers, then the number of B accidents would have been 18,262.6 rather than 378,306, which is 360,043.4 less. If all the C drivers had the same probability of having an accident as the A drivers, then the number of C accidents would have been 18,262.6 rather than 83,0954, which is 64,832.4 less. Instead of 479,392 accidents, if drivers B & C had had the same skill as drivers A, there would have been only 54,787.8 accidents, which is 424,604.2, or 88.6%, fewer accidents, and 849,208 fewer drivers involved in accidents. This is an accident rate of (109,576/264 Billion) or 41.5 per 100M miles.

Modified Tuesday, November 02, 2010