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Did the 98 Point Drop in SAT Scores Indicate A Decrease in US Education Quality?

Ignoring that someone taking today's SAT would score 36 points higher than that person taking the 1960 test, ignoring that most of the increase in the percent of test-takers who are minorities are also females, and using a liberal estimate of the increase in the percent of minority and female test-takers since 1960, the actual decrease in SAT scores since 1960 is 16 times greater than the increase in the percent of lower scoring test-takers predicts that it should have been.

bulletWhat other factors do you believe are at work in this chronic 98 point decrease in SAT scores that should have been less than 6 points?
bulletWhere do you believe the US would rank today on TIMSS had it not been for this 98 point drop in SAT scores?
bulletIf you read the Sandia "study" regarding this drop in SAT scores, what is your opinion of its veracity?
bulletIn your opinion, what impact on SAT scores does the 76 point drop in TIMSS scores between 8th grade and 12th grade US students have?
bulletWhat do you believe can be done to correct it?

CALCULATIONS:

  1. DTAB127.TXT shows that SAT Scores in the US decreased 98 points since 1960, not including the fact that someone taking the SAT test today would score 26 points higher today than he would have in the 1960 test, due solely to changes in the test.
  2. This table also shows that the average difference in SAT scores between males and females averaged 47 points and was 3 points higher in 1993 than it was in 1968.
  3. dtab254.htm shows that the percent of BS degrees which were awarded to blacks, Hispanics, and Indians increased from 8.8% to 10.5%. Based solely on this table, a ROM (rough order of magnitude) estimate of the increase in the percent of minorities taking the SAT test since 1960 is 3%.
  4. dtab129.htm shows that the percent of SAT test-takers who are females increased from 50.5% in 1976 to 52.6% in 1993. Based solely on this table, a ROM estimate of the increase in the percent of females taking the SAT test since 1960 is 4%.
  5. This table also shows that the *number* of SAT test-takers increased by only 4.5% between 1976 and 1993--less than population growth.
  6. satmfind.htm shows that the weighted average score of blacks, Hispanics, and Indians is 145 SAT points lower than the average score of whites.

Based solely on these data points, and ignoring related factors:

bulletA 4% increase in the percent of test-takers who are females, based solely on the 47 point lower average scores of females, would decrease SAT scores by 1.68 points.
bulletA 3% increase in the percent of test-takers who are minorities, based solely on the 145 point lower average scores of minorities, would decrease SAT scores by 4.35 points.
bulletEven ignoring that half of the minorities taking the test are also females, the increase in the percent of both females and minorities taking the SAT test explains only 6 points of the 98 point decrease in SAT scores since 1960--less than 7%.

 

Modified Monday, July 13, 2009

Copyright @ 2007 by Fathers' Manifesto & Christian Party